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From Critique to Cultural Recovery: Critical futures studies and Causal Layered Analysis PDF Print E-mail
Written by jose ramos   
Tuesday, 18 November 2008 12:01

 

Paleofutures

 

The two biggest influences to my futures studies education have been Sohail Inayatullah and Richard Slaughter.  While I'm no longer a groupie as I once was, and have become more descerning and critical of all social theory (in the footsteps of Bruno Latour), returning to this text brings back important memories and feelings, and indeed my admiration for both men, who have worked very hard to open up the future for the benefit of all. 

This is the intro that I gave the monograph in 2003: 

The ‘emancipatory tradition’ in futures studies, if broadly defined, spans the work of
many scholars, writers and peace minded individuals the world over. To name a few would
do insult to the many that have made contributions. Critical futures studies, as an intellectual
practice that aims to critique reified and oppressive social structures and destructive cultural
traits, also fits within this emancipatory tradition. Again, the list of those who call themselves
critical futurists is long, and naming a few would mean ignoring the rest. At any rate,
critical futures and the emancipatory tradition has never been about names, but rather
about the nameless, those many whose voices and visions have been ignored at the point
of a gun, drowned out by the sound of falling bombs and otherwise dehumanised by
‘modernising’ forces and structural violence. Critical futures is not about the careers of
a few scholars, rather it is about projects that transcend the narrow boundaries of the
self. These projects range from creating a sustainable society and sustainable world for
future generations, to creating futures of gender equality, to addressing the ‘civilisational
challenge’, envisioning a peaceful ‘Gaia of civilisations’, and otherwise opening up spaces
for popular participation in creating alternative futures.

The following monograph examines two such projects, those of Richard Slaughter and
Sohail Inayatullah, and their respective contributions to critical futures studies. And while
they represent the work of only two in the rich emancipatory tradition in futures, their
contributions are particularly important. The reader may detect a tone of admiration
throughout this monograph, which some academics might find embarrassing. Instead of
apologising, however, there is a justification. The ‘devotion’ expressed here is not to these
men specifically, but to what they represent, a rich world beyond the narrow confines
of instrumental rationality and the biased assumptions of the West. While there is unapologetic
admiration of both men, they have also made foundational contributions to
understanding the social construction of the future; and they have laid new ground for
a generation of futures thinkers. It would be dishonest to say that this is an objective
account of their work, but ‘objective’ no longer holds up under scrutiny anymore, given
our understanding of how the ‘object’ of our examination changes according to our vantage
point in the socio-political spectrum. A claim to objectivity would be presumptuous. The
author shares their emancipatory ethos.

This monograph is by necessity biographical. We live within contextual fields of
consciousness and action, and are expressions of our time and place. To deny these structures
is to somehow make ourselves omniscient observers above the influence of the world.
People and their ideas are naturally expressions of their context: the culture and era they live in.

To make the claim that a writer’s ideas are somehow separate from their historical
and cultural environment is to intimate the universality and everlasting truth of their
claims. Far from this, the position taken here is much humbler. The work of these men
will some day be looked at as products of their time, critiqued, and with different and
unforeseen futures thinking emerging – ‘transcending and including’. This is an attempt
to ‘situate’ the ideas of these two men in the context of their life journey, to weave a
narrative of individual exploration and social innovation. Far from muddying the waters
with anecdotal facts, a ‘contextual analysis’ highlights the relevance of their ideas to their
historical situation and their experiences as actors in the making of history.
The true objective of this monograph is two-fold. Firstly, to highlight and explore the
ideas and methods these individuals innovated; thus, the background and core ideas of
many of the thinkers that influenced Slaughter and Inayatullah are unearthed and
characterised. And, secondly, to situate the ideas and methodology in their cultural and
historical contexts, or in the words of Inayatullah, to ‘locate methodology in epistemology
– focused on the person, the situation and the episteme’.1 By extension, there is complicity
on the part of the writer, with one’s personal values and interests expressed through this
text. This monograph is thus not the true story of critical futures, but rather a labour
of interpretation with emancipatory intent.

Here is a link to the Monograph

 

 

Last Updated ( Tuesday, 18 November 2008 12:23 )
 
Meta-scan of foresight practice in Australia PDF Print E-mail
Written by jose ramos   
Thursday, 16 October 2008 13:02

From 2001 to 2004 I studied and worked within the Australian Foresight Institute. One of the monographs I produced under the supervision of Richard Slaughter was a 'Meta-scan' of foresight practice in Australia.  

In it I used a Wilber-Slaughter Integral framework to analyse the dispositions of different types of foresight practice, but now consider it overly burdened by 'Wilber-ist' assumptions and also dated in terms of the field research. However it will still be useful to some who are looking for broad overview type documents of foresight work here. 

The monograph can be found here: Meta-scan

 

 Swisscan

Image by Swisscan 'Sunset Outback Australia'

Last Updated ( Tuesday, 18 November 2008 11:59 )
 
Conceptualising Agency Through the World Social Forum Process: A layered analysis of alternative globalisation PDF Print E-mail
Written by jose ramos   
Sunday, 31 August 2008 14:16


Conceptualising Agency Through the World Social Forum Process: A layered analysis of alternative globalisation

Jose Ramos
Qld University of Technology

Originally published in: Community Development in a Global Risk Society conference, 20 - 22
April 2006, Deakin University Conference Proceedings, 2007 (refereed article)

Abstract

Ulrick Beck's notion of sub-politics, in describing civil society's trans-national responses to the challenges of late industrial capitalism, embodies implicitly the power of civil society and the third sector to create desired social changes within a widening arc of risk horizons. Subsequent to Beck's 1999 writings, we have seen the emergence of the World Social Forum Process,  which has become a platform for the global justice / alter-globalisation movement, and has worked as a catalyst in bringing together civil society / the community sector into new meta-networks, in order to address such meta-problems. A primary question explored in this paper is how communities address the large scale global challenges of neo-liberalism turn neo-conservatism, through a globalisation from below. This paper addresses this question through an examination of the World Social Forum Process as complex agent of social change, arguing that the World Social Forum is a platform for social innovation, which can be seen through a 'layered complexity' perspective. Causal Layered Analysis, and complex adaptive socio-ecological systems perspectives, offer layered frameworks that can be used to understand the World Social Forum Process as platform for social innovations. From this view Social Forums can be seen to be platforms for fast moving resistance, to deeper policy, law and institutional innovations, and on to even deeper worldview shifts, epistemological reconstructions (the epistemology of the Global South), and a culture of 'horizontalism', and through to the emergence of deep narratives for a Global Commons, people's power and building a planetary society, paralleled by new myths and metaphors.  Using this approach, Beck's notion of sub-politics is expanded, as the construction of a cosmopolitan world order takes on a multi-causal and multi-temporal dynamic.

 

 

 

Photo by Tatiana Cardeal

Aunt Lourdes

 

Last Updated ( Thursday, 16 October 2008 13:46 )
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Temporal Conscientization PDF Print E-mail
Written by jose ramos   
Sunday, 31 August 2008 14:12

Freire

Photo by LIA COSTA CARVALHO


FUTURES EDUCATION AS TEMPORAL CONSCIENTISATION

JOSE RAMOS

Published in Social Alternatives Vol. 24 No.4, Fourth Quarter, 2005

Introduction
Futures education has been around for almost four decades. Beginning in the US in the 1960s, it has now been developed in many different countries. The history of its unfolding has been well documented, for example by Richard Slaughter (2004).  In Australia, considerable work has been done at the primary and secondary school level (Gidley, Bateman and Smith 2004). Even though it is a relatively new academic tradition, there are now over 50 universities around the world that teach futures studies (Ramos 2005). Some are just one or two classes at the bachelors level, brought into a university by an enthusiastic professor. Others incorporate futures studies into existing programs, for example in the areas of planning, business, environmental sustainability, economics, development studies, science and technology studies. There are also formal Masters level programs, with degrees entitled such as: futures studies, strategic foresight, prospective (in France), prospectiva (in Latin America), and prognostics (in Eastern Europe).There are also numerous doctoral dissertations around the world with a focus in futures studies.
Contributing to this debate, the approach to futures education in this article will consider Freire’s (1970, 1973) work on conscientisation in the contexts of critical futures studies and, further, discuss some potentials of Freirian-style action research in futures studied. This framework offers practical and theoretical possibilities in futures education toward the development of democratically-oriented consciousness and the real issues and challenges we face as communities and as humanity in the 21st century.

 

 

Last Updated ( Thursday, 16 October 2008 13:43 )
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Anticipatory Innovation PDF Print E-mail
Written by jose ramos   
Tuesday, 19 August 2008 14:08

 

'There's Always One' by Red Vintage

 

Anticipatory innovation


Jose M. Ramos and De Chantal Hillis

(Originally published in the Journal of Futures Studies, November 2004, 9(2): 19-28) 

Abstract

This essay examines the role of innovation in society, arguing that a failure of foresight in the practical design and development of innovations has been a significant causal factor in the crisis of global un-sustainability. It questions flawed assumptions about the nature of ecological and social change processes, and the worldview most commonly associated with modernism. In a diagnose, the dimensions of this failure reveal a 'disciplinary disassociation', or the failure of disciplines to integrate in order to facilitate a process of innovation with a forward view. Finally the essay proposes an alternative approach to innovation which utilises greater foresight, is inclusive of multiple disciplines, and has a greater sensitivity to social and ecological processes. This process is referred to as 'anticipatory innovation.'

Last Updated ( Thursday, 16 October 2008 13:51 )
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